Thursday, May 5, 2011

Livability and Sustainability Framework





Livability and Sustainability Framework

Many people talk about “going green,” but how do you actually make it happen? New solutions are popping up and it is difficult to sort through the many choices available. How do you know where to turn?

The answer is often found in your own community.

The Livability Project knows how to help community stakeholders figure out what they really want to achieve and then rally them around tangible goals on the path toward sustainability. We call our approach The Livability Framework. It’s a comprehensive way of thinking about sustainability issues, formulating a plan and then achieving your community’s goals. As a Livability Project client, we take you through each of the following twelve phases of the Livability Framework.


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Module 1. Assessing the Community

The Livability Framework starts with a Community Assessment process. This involves gathering information and analyzing the unique attributes, players and dynamics of your community. . This discovery process help you to create a plan specific to your community. Beyond identifying and recruiting champions, you will better understand your community around the following five key attributes: Leadership, Relationships, Assets, Gaps and Resources.


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Module 2. Envisioning the Future

From your work in Module 1, Assessing the Community, you will gain a better sense of where to best focus your efforts. This next step in the Livability Framework – Envisioning the Future – will help you to refine this nascent vision. You’ll form a mission with your group, develop a project action plan, create a brand and define expectations for the project.


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Module 3. Establishing a Sustainable Structure

Once you have completed Modules 1 and 2, you are ready to begin the process of establishing a sustainable structure, one that will enable your project goals to come to fruition and bring your community together.

This module will help you determine several operational issues such as: How will your initiative will be organized and structured? Who are the key leaders for the board and what should each contribute? What income streams are needed to sustain the organization and its programs? How can you ensure the mission is inclusive of all your different stakeholders?


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Module 4. Building Organizational Capacity

This module will take the intentions articulated in your planning work and bring much of it to reality through the creation of working groups and the launch of the community’s initiative. You will also learn techniques for managing and facilitating working groups and for developing strategic partners and in-kind service providers. We will also provide an introduction to the importance of a developing a relationship management system.


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Module 5. Developing a Green Action Plan

At this point in the process, you will have several ideas and programs ready to begin. This module will cover the development of a green action plan, which involves identifying existing products, programs and organizations; leveraging resources and partnerships, and getting started with the real work outlined in your livability initiative’s mission and vision statement. We will help you develop a variety of programs such as:

•Recycling programs
•Cooperative procurement or. group buying for local businesses
•Urban District-wide green certification and branding
•Create more walkable spaces
•Create a biodiesel or alternative energy program
•Establish an events and seminar series
•Create demand for home and business energy audits

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Module 6. Engaging the Entire Community

Now that your initiative is up and running, it’s time to reach out beyond your Board and volunteers to engage the entire community. This module will discuss general awareness building including public relations, competitions and events, as well as business and citizens outreach and partner and liaison programs.


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Module 7. Providing Education and Events

Education and Events are a key part of any community initiative’s mission. Events may include presentations by local experts and authors, movies, roundtable and panel discussions, workshops and ad hoc networking for community building. This module will also provide an overview of how to establish a speakers’ bureau and online education program and how to plan and manage events.


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Module 8. Generating Multiple Income Streams

The continued success of your local sustainability initiative will be highly dependent on generating ongoing revenue. In our experience, you will want to grow your organization to be as self-sufficient as possible. Because of our unique model leveraging local business, government, and citizens groups, each of these will have a stake in the outcomes of your initiative and thus will want to share in the success and excitement of the enterprise. Your initiative has the potential to become a hub of activity focused on local economic development. Therefore, we believe some or all of the following income streams will help defray the cost of operations and pay for the program:

•Sponsorship programs;
•Government, Corporate and Foundation grants;
•Affiliate and Partner programs;
•Event fees;
•Advertising; and
•More…

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Module 9. Creating an Online Presence

Your organization’s online presence is critical not only to its image, but to recruit volunteers and supporters and enable opportunities for others to share information and communicate. This module will cover:

•Building and maintaining your website;
•Distributing an e-newsletter;
•Pros and Cons of Blogging;
•Leveraging Social Media (FaceBook, MySpace, Linked-In, Twitter and More); and
•Online Mapping.

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Module 10. Forming a Livability Center

Online activities and community meetings are important, but integrating the vision and programs into the fabric of your community will be accelerated with the development of a Livability Center. Part Community Center, part Sustainability Education Center, part Green Jobs Incubator and local hang-out, a Livabilty Center is a place where people can connect to advance your initiative’s agenda. This module will cover issues such as financing and sponsorship models, build-out, launch, and operation.


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Module 11. Documenting and Measuring Feedback

With all of this activity, considerable progress will be made in achieving your livability project’s goals. This module will discuss how to measure effectiveness, update and monitor plans vs. progress, and share best practices.


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Module 12. Celebrating Successes

Some may be tempted to dismiss this module as just the “fun stuff.” While there is a lot of fun to be had in celebrating your successes, you need to understand how to do it appropriately and how to use these celebrations as a tool for building community spirit, pride, and soliciting more participation from stakeholders.. This module will cover tactics such as Annual Reports, Leadership Awards, Volunteer Rewards Programs, and Community Celebrations.

ENERGY EFFICIENCY




ENERGY EFFICIENCY

1. Energy Units
Energy Units and Conversions
A BTU (British Thermal Unit) is the amount of heat necessary to raise one pound of water by 1 degree Farenheit (F).
1 Joule (J) is the MKS unit of energy, equal to the force of one Newton acting through one meter.
1 British Thermal Unit (BTU) = 1055 J (The Mechanical Equivalent of Heat Relation)
Power = Current x Voltage (P = I V)
1 Watt is the power from a current of 1 Ampere flowing through 1 Volt.
1 kilowatt is a thousand Watts.
1 kilowatt-hour is the energy of one kilowatt power flowing for one hour. (E = P t).
1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) = 3.6 x 106 J = 3.6 million Joules
1 calorie of heat is the amount needed to raise 1 gram of water 1 degree Centigrade.
1 calorie (cal) = 4.184 J
(The Calories in food ratings are actually kilocalories.)
<>1 BTU = 252 cal = 1.055 kJ
1 Quad = 1015 BTU (World energy usage is about 300 Quads/year, US is about 100 Quads/year in 1996.)
1 therm = 100,000 BTU
1,000 kWh = 3.41 million BTU
Power Conversion
1 horsepower (hp) = 745.7 watts
Gas Volume to Energy Conversion
One thousand cubic feet of gas (Mcf) -> 1.027 million BTU = 1.083 billion J = 301 kWh
One therm = 100,000 BTU = 105.5 MJ = 29.3 kWh
1 Mcf -> 10.27 therms
Energy Content of Fuels
Coal 25 million BTU/ton
Crude Oil 5.6 million BTU/barrel
Oil 5.78 million BTU/barrel = 1700 kWh / barrel
Gasoline 5.6 million BTU/barrel (a barrel is 42 gallons) = 1.33 therms / gallon
Natural gas liquids 4.2 million BTU/barrel
Natural gas 1030 BTU/cubic foot
Wood 20 million BTU/cord
CO2 Pollution of Fossil Fuels
Pounds of CO2 per billion BTU of energy::
Coal 208,000 pounds
Oil 164,000 pounds
Natural Gas 117,000 pounds

Ratios of CO2 pollution:
Oil / Natural Gas = 1.40
Coal / Natural Gas = 1.78

Pounds of CO2 per 1,000 kWh:
Coal 709 pounds
Oil 559 pounds
Natural Gas 399 pounds


2. Economics of Energy

Energy Review Consultation Topics
_ Valuing Carbon
_ Saving Energy
_ Distributed Energy
_ Energy Security
_ Transport
_ Electricity Generation (Renewables Clean Coal and Nuclear )

Energy economics studies energy resources and energy commodities and includes: forces
motivating firms and consumers to supply, convert, transport, use energy resources, and to dispose of residuals; market structures and regulatory structures; distributional and environmental consequences; economically efficient use.
It recognizes: 1) energy is neither created nor destroyed but can be converted among forms; 2) energy comes from the physical environment and ultimately returns there. Humans harness energy conversion processes to provide energy services.
Energy demand is derived from preferences for energy services and depends on properties of conversion technologies and costs. Energy commodities are economic substitutes.
Energy resources are depletable or renewable and storable or non-storable. Human energy use is dominantly depletable resources, particularly fossil fuels. Market forces may guide a transition back to renewable resources. Inter-temporal optimal depletable resource extraction paths include an opportunity cost, or rent. World oil prices remain above pre-1973 levels and remain volatile as a result of OPEC market power. Oil supply disruptions of the 1970s led to economic harms.
Environmental damages from energy use include climate change from greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide. Environmental costs not incorporated into energy prices (externalities) lead to overuse of energy and motivate policy interventions.
1 48 Economics of Energy
Energy economics is the field that studies human utilization of energy resources and energy commodities and the consequences of that utilization. In physical science terminology, “energy” is the capacity for doing work, e.g., lifting, accelerating, or heating material. In economic terminology, “energy” includes all energy commodities and energy resources, commodities or resources that embody significant amounts of physical energy and thus offer the ability to perform work. Energy commodities - e.g., gasoline, diesel fuel, natural gas, propane, coal, or electricity – can be used to provide energy services for human activities, such as lighting, space heating, water heating, cooking, motive power, electronic activity.
Energy resources - e.g., crude oil, natural gas, coal, biomass, hydro, uranium, wind, sunlight, or geothermal deposits – can be harvested to produce energy commodities.
Energy economics studies forces that lead economic agents – firms, individuals, governments – to supply energy resources, to convert those resources into other useful energy forms, to transport them to the users, to use them, and to dispose of the residuals. It studies roles of alternative market and regulatory structures on these activities, economic distributional impacts, and environmental consequences. It studies economically efficient provision and use of energy commodities and resources and factors that lead away from economic efficiency.
Properties of Energy Resources and Energy Commodities
2
Other than all embodying significant amounts of physical energy, energy resources or
commodities vary greatly. They may embody chemical energy (e.g., oil, natural gas, coal,
biomass), mechanical energy (e.g., wind, falling water), thermal energy (geothermal deposits), radiation (sunlight, infrared radiation), electrical energy (electricity), or the potential to create energy through nuclear reactions (uranium, plutonium.) They have differing physical forms.
Crude oil, most refined petroleum products, and water are liquids. Of water includes available energy only through its motion. Coal, most biomass, and uranium are solids. Natural gas and wind are in gases, with wind including available energy based only on its movement.
Geothermal energy is available through hot liquids (normally water) or solids (subterranean rock formations). Solar radiation is a pure form of energy. Electricity consists of electrons moving under an electrical potential.
Resources can be viewed as renewable or depletable. Some renewable resources can be
stored; others are not storable. These issues will be discussed more fully in a subsequent
section.
Table 1 summarizes the energy form, physical form, renewable/depletable distinction for
several common energy resources and commodities.
1. Energy Conversion Processes
3
A fundamental property of energy is expressed by the first law of thermodynamics: energy can be neither created nor destroyed (except through nuclear reactions transforming matter to energy.) Energy can be converted between forms and human use of energy typically involves such conversions for human ends.
Energy conversion processes are basic to human experience. Fire, providing heat and light, is a process by which chemical energy stored in the fuel, say, wood, is converted to thermal energy and radiant energy. Chemical energy stored in wood is the result of photosynthesis, whereby plants convert energy in sunlight to chemical energy, stored in the plant material.
Carbohydrates in food are converted within the human body to thermal energy and mechanical energy, providing body warmth and movement.
The industrial revolution was characterized by a change from use of hand tools, using human mechanical energy, to machine and power tools. Machine tools allowed conversion of energy in falling water to mechanical energy (water wheels) or conversion of chemical energy in wood or coal to mechanical energy (steam engines) for industrial processes.
Humans now routinely harness complex sequences of energy conversion processes to provide desired services. Crude oil is separated into refined products such as gasoline, diesel oil, jet fuel, heavy distillates, that embody chemical energy. Gasoline or diesel oil are explosively 4 burned in internal combustion engines, converting chemical energy into thermal energy.
Heated gases push engine pistons, converting thermal energy into mechanical energy. Some is lost as heated gases or as radiant energy. The mechanical energy moves the automobile and, in the process, is converted to thermal energy through friction within the automobile or between the automobile and the road or air. Some mechanical energy is converted to electrical energy by a generator in the automobile, to power electrical equipment. Some electrical energy is converted into chemical energy in the automobile battery. To start the car, chemical energy in the battery is converted to electrical energy, that is then converted to mechanical energy to turn the engine.
Similarly, coal combustion converts chemical energy into thermal energy to create steam,
which powers a turbine in an electric generating plant, converting the thermal energy into
mechanical energy and then into electrical energy. Electricity can power a motor (converting to mechanical energy), heat a room (to thermal energy), or light a bulb (to thermal energy, then to light). This energy is later converted to thermal energy, which ultimately is radiated into space.
Energy economics recognizes the fundamental physical realities that 1) no energy is created or destroyed but that energy can be converted among its various forms, and 2) energy comes from the physical environment and ultimately is released back into the physical environment.
Thus, energy economics is the study of human activities using energy resources from naturally 5 available forms, through often complex conversion processes, to forms providing energy services.
Several issues of the demand for energy will be examined next.
2. Demand for Energy as a Derived Demand
Demand for energy is derived from wishes to use energy to obtain desired services. It is not derived from preferences for the energy commodity itself. Energy demand depends primarily on demand for desired services, availability and properties of energy conversion technologies, and costs of energy and technologies used for conversion.
For example, consumers use gasoline to fuel an automobile or other motorized vehicle,
converting gasoline to mechanical energy for motive power. The amount of gasoline used is proportional to the miles the auto is driven and inversely proportionate to the efficiency by which gasoline is converted to useful mechanical energy, measured as miles per gallon (Mpg) of gasoline of the automobile. Demand for gasoline is thus derived from choices about distances vehicles are driven and their energy conversion efficiencies.
Similarly, electricity is purchased by consumers only to perform functions using electricity.
Typical electricity uses include lighting, refrigeration, space heating, air conditioning, clothes 6 washing, drying, dish washing, water heating, operating electronic equipment such as computers or televisions. Electrical energy is converted to mechanical energy (motors in refrigerators, air-conditioning units, vacuum cleaners), thermal energy (space heating, clothes dryers, water heating), or radiation (lighting, television, computer monitors.) Electricity demand is derived from demand for the underlying services – comfortable space, refrigeration, cleaning, entertainment, information processing.
In each case, efficiency of energy conversion equipment also determines energy demand.
Typically, energy conversion equipment is long-lived – automobiles, air-conditioning units, refrigerators, televisions, computer systems, furnaces. Consumers or firms can usually choose among alternatives with various conversion efficiencies; such choices significantly influence energy demand. To the extent that consumers and firms purchase these units with an understanding of their conversion efficiencies, expectations of future energy prices can influence choices of particular equipment. For example, high natural gas prices can motivate consumers to invest in home insulation.
In general, increased energy prices reduce demand by reducing use of energy services and motivating selection of higher conversion efficiency equipment. For example, gasoline prices influence demand through vehicle miles and fuel efficiency of vehicles. Vehicle miles is influenced by cost per mile of driving, including per mile gasoline costs, equal to the ratio Pg/Mpg (where Pg is the gasoline price), and other costs. Increased gasoline prices lead 7 consumers to purchase more fuel efficient cars. Both factors imply that increased gasoline prices reduce gasoline demand, with the vehicle miles adjusting relatively quickly and vehicular fuel efficiency adjusting slowly as vehicles enter the fleet.
Except for firms selling energy resources or energy commodities, the same issues are
important for industrial and commercial use of energy.
3. Demand Substitution Among Energy Commodities
Some energy services can be provided by several different energy commodities. Homes could be heated using electricity, natural gas, oil, or wood, since each can be converted to thermal energy. Cooking could use electricity, natural gas, propane, wood, or charcoal. Thus, energy commodities are typically economic substitutes for one another: the demand for a particular energy commodity is an increasing function of prices of other energy commodities.
This substitutability of energy is made possible by and is limited by the available set of energy conversion technologies. Typically one conversion technology can be used only for one particular energy commodity. For home heating, a natural gas furnace cannot use oil, electricity, or wood. Because conversion equipment typically is very long lived, substitution among energy commodities occurs only slowly, and then when new equipment is purchased.
Short-run substitution usually can occur only if several energy conversion technologies are 8 simultaneously available for use by particular consumers, e.g., homes that have a central natural gas heating system plus portable electric space heating units. Thus, usually various energy commodities can be viewed as imperfect substitutes for one another, with much greater substitutability in the long run than in the short run.
The degree of substitutability can be sharply altered by development of new conversion
alternatives. For example, automobiles historically were fueled only by gasoline or diesel fuel, but technologies currently being developed would allow autos to be powered by electricity, natural gas, propane, hydrogen, or other energy commodities. Once such conversion technologies are successfully commercialized, gasoline and other energy commodities will become highly substitutable in transportation.
4. Is Energy an Essential Good?
In economics, an essential good is one for which the demand remains positive no matter how high its price becomes. In the theoretical limit, for prices unboundedly high, consumers would allocate all of their income to purchases of the essential good.
Energy is often described as an essential good because human activity would be impossible absent use of energy: living requires food embodying chemical energy. Although energy is essential to humans, neither particular energy commodities nor any purchased energy 9 commodities are essential goods. Particular energy commodities are not essential because consumers can convert one form of energy into another. Even the aggregate of all purchased energy cannot be viewed as an essential good. Experience from low-energy research facilities shows that an extremely energy efficient home needs relatively little energy. Solar energy could generate electricity or heat water. Travel could be limited to walking or riding bicycles.
Solar-generated electricity or wood fires could be used for cooking. For high enough prices of purchased energy, demand for purchased energy by consumers could be reduced to zero.
Thus, purchased energy is not an essential good.
5. Optimality of Consumer Choice
Debate is ongoing about the extent to which consumers understand conversion efficiencies of alternative technologies and act on this understanding and the extent to which manufacturers of conversion equipment respond to consumer preferences. Labeling requirements have been one policy response to concerns that consumers otherwise would have insufficient information to choose among energy conversion equipment. New cars have stickers with estimates of their Mpg under different driving cycles. Refrigerator labels estimate their annual electricity use and cost. The concern has led to adoption of energy efficiency standards for household equipment, such as refrigerators, under the belief that labeling is not sufficient to motivate optimal consumer choices. Similarly, the imposition of corporate average fuel efficiency standards (CAFE) for automobiles is a legislative response to concern that, on their 10 own, automobile manufacturers will make automobiles less fuel efficient than optimal.
These behavioral issues and the appropriate policy responses have not been fully resolved in either the existing literature or the policy community.
Issues related to energy supply will be reviewed next.
6. Depletable, Storable Renewable, Non-storable Renewable Resources
Based on the speed of natural processes, one can classify primary energy resources as
depletable or renewable. Renewable resources can be further subdivided into storable or nonstorable resources. Renewable resources are self renewing within a time scale important for economic decision making. Storable renewable resources typically exist as a stock which can be used or can be stored. Biomass, hydro power, and some geothermal, fall in this category.
The amount used at one time influences the amount available in subsequent times. Nonstorable renewable resources – wind, solar radiation, run-of-the-river hydro resources can be used or not, but the quantity used at a given time has no direct influence on the quantity available subsequently. Most energy commodities are storable (refined petroleum products, processed natural gas, coal, batteries), but electricity is not storable as electricity. Depletable resources are those whose renewal speeds are so slow that it is appropriate to view them as made available once and only once by nature. Crude oil, natural gas, coal, and uranium all fall in this category. 11 Initially all human energy use depended on renewable resources, in particular biomass resources used for food, heat, or light. In the United States, renewable energy – human, animal, water, wood, and wind power – dominated energy supply through the middle of the 19th century. Only during the second half of the 19th century did a depletable resource, coal, surpass renewable resource use. Crude oil and natural gas started supplying large quantities of energy only in the 1920s.
Now the dominant use of energy in developed nations is based on depletable resources,
particularly fossil fuels. Table 2 shows that of the total sources of energy consumed in the
United States in 1999, 92% was from a depletable resource and only 8% was from a
renewable resource, of which almost all was hydroelectric and biomass (wood and waste.)
But depletable resource use cannot dominate forever. Once particular deposits have been
used, they cannot be reused. Therefore, a future transition from depletable resources,
particularly from fossil fuels, is inevitable. However, which renewable energy sources will dominate future consumption is not clear. And there is great uncertainty about the timing of a shift to renewable energy resources. Related is the unresolved question of future energy adequacy: will the renewable sources of energy be adequate to satisfy demands for energy, once the fossil fuel supplies move close to ultimate depletion? These issues will be examined further in the next section. 12
7. Depletable Resource Economics and the Transition to Renewable Resources
The study of depletable resource economics began with articles by Lewis Grey (1914) and Harold Hotelling (1931), which examined economically inter-temporal optimal extraction from a perfectly known stock of the resource, with perfectly predictable future prices of the extracted commodity. Many, but not all, subsequent articles maintained the perfect knowledge assumptions.
The essential result is that under optimal extraction paths the resource owner recognizes
(explicitly or implicitly) an opportunity cost, or rent, in addition to the marginal extraction costs. All information about the role of future prices and costs would be embodied in this opportunity cost. The competitive firm would extract at a rate such that the marginal extraction cost plus opportunity cost would equal the selling price for the extracted commodity. Price would thus exceed marginal cost, even if the firm were operating perfectly competitively.
This opportunity cost would evolve smoothly over time. As the resource neared depletion, the opportunity cost and the marginal extraction cost even at very low
extraction rates would together have increased until they equaled the commodity price, at
which time extraction would cease.
In depletable resource theory, market prices would increase gradually to the cost of producing substitutes, reaching that cost only as the depletable resource were nearing depletion. 13 Substitutes would be produced only in small quantities until near the time of depletion.
Market forces would automatically and optimally guide commodity prices upward so that
when the depletable resources were nearing depletion, commodity prices would have risen to a point at which the demands could be fully satisfied by the substitutes.
In reality, the economic cycle for depletable resources is far more complex and more prone to error and surprises. The cycle typically begins with innovations that allow the resource to be utilized. Technologies improve over time, partially guided by economic forces and public policy decisions, but often in somewhat unpredictable ways. Generally the magnitude and location of the resource base remains unknown and exploration is required to identify resource deposits. But exploration is costly. Therefore typically it is optimal for companies to explore only until they find sufficient resources to satisfy their expectations of near-term extraction.
These discovered resources – referred to as “reserves” – are typically only a fraction of the resource base and do not provide reliable estimates of the overall size of the resource stock.
Firms may optimally extract from the proven reserves but cannot know with any certainty the quantity or extraction costs of the undiscovered resources. Opportunity cost would depend on the future prices of the extracted commodity, but future commodity prices will themselves depend on future demand and supply, which in turn depends on the uncertain future discoveries, and which therefore are very unpredictable. 14 With this additional complexity and uncertainty, although the opportunity cost concept remains important, it seems appropriate to focus more attention on responses of markets to random changes in technologies, reserves, and other market information. And it seems appropriate to abandon the notion that markets will automatically and optimally guide the system to a smooth transition to renewable resources.
One central result does remain, however. If there is only a limited stock of a resource –
undiscovered plus discovered – then there will be only a limited number of years during which the resource can be extracted. Here there is an important commonality between energy economics and ecological economics (see article on ecological economics). The typical pattern includes an initial period in which the resource is not used, before technology for extracting and/or using the resource is developed. Extraction rates rise over time, perhaps rapidly, as that technology develops and demand increases. Commodity prices would fall with falling extraction and finding costs. However, at some time, rising costs due to depletion of the resource start overtaking the decreasing costs due to technology advances. The extraction rate declines until ultimately all of the economical resource stocks are depleted. At that point, the consumers of the depletable resource must substitute some other means of satisfying energy service demand.
If markets work well, the renewable resources will then be available in sufficient quantities and at reasonable costs. A transition to renewable energy resources will have been successfully 15 accomplished and there would always be an adequate energy supply to satisfy all demands at the prevailing market price.
However, given the complexity and the uncertainty, it is not obvious that the transition will work as automatically, as smoothly, or as optimally as suggested above. It may be that fossil fuels saved for the future will ultimately never be needed because substitute forms of energy become available at a lower cost and at an earlier time than expected. Or it may be that fossil fuels are rapidly depleted but that costs of renewable resources remain well above expected levels or that quantities of renewable resources are more limited than expected. In either case, in retrospect everyone might wish to have made very different public policy decisions.
8. World Oil Prices
In 1973, energy markets were disrupted when war broke out between Israel and neighboring nations. Oil supply was reduced by some member nations of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). At that time there was relatively little excess worldwide oil extraction capacity. Consumers and producers expected further disruptions. Therefore the supply reductions led to disproportionately sharp increases in the world price of oil, increases that remained well after the war. Another price increase occurred in 1979. The price of Saudi Arabian light jumped from $2.10 per barrel (/bbl) at the beginning of year (BOY) 1973 to $9.60/bbl at BOY 1974. The BOY 1979 price of $13.34/bbl was followed by a BOY 1980 price of $26.00 per barrel. Not until 1986 did prices drop to levels consistent with the current 16 levels. Prices are well above the pre-1973 levels, even when adjusted for inflation, and remain very volatile. Figure 1 shows these BOY annual prices in nominal dollars and in 1996 dollars, adjusted using the US implicit GNP price deflator.
Many explanations have been offered for the persistence of the world price increases,
including assertions that they simply reflected a realization oil resources were being depleted, that they reflected only random movements, and that they reflect independent choices by various nations attempting to satisfy developmental goals. The most obvious explanation, that they reflect collusive exercise of market power by OPEC members, is the best supported by economic data.
These sudden jumps in oil prices led directly to a wide range of economic impacts and
indirectly to impacts through governmental programs responding to the perceived crisis.
Worldwide recessions followed both price jumps, partly caused by direct disruptions to
industry, partly by reductions in real income of oil importing countries, and partly by tight monetary policies imposed to decrease oil-market-induced inflation. Price and allocation controls were placed on refined petroleum products in the US, resulting in widespread shortages, manifested by long gasoline lines. And prices of other energy resources and commodities increased significantly in response to the oil price increases.
17 The oil price increases and ensuing economic problems led to profound changes in energy policy and energy markets world wide. For example, in the US, President Nixon declared “Project Independence” to reduce sharply US dependence on imported oil. Oil exploration and development increased extraction capacity throughout the non-OPEC nations, particularly in the North Sea (Norway and United Kingdom), China, and Mexico. Energy “conservation” programs were enacted to reduce energy demand, particularly oil. For example, corporate average fuel efficiency standards (CAFE) were imposed on the US automobile industry. Public and private sector investments in renewable energy R&D
increased sharply, with emphasis on solar, wind, geothermal, and hydro power. New national and international organizations were created: e.g., the International Energy Agency (IEA) in Paris, the US Department of Energy. Programs were initiated to reduce economic impacts of oil disruptions: the US government purchased large quantities of crude oil for storage underground; oil importing nations agreed to IAE-monitored minimum levels of oil storage.
Although some changes have been reversed – e.g., investment in energy R&D has declined since 1986 – oil policies, particularly for oil importing nations, still are shaped by these profound changes in the world oil price.
9. Energy Conversion Industries
18 In addition are activities associated with commercial conversion of energy from one form to another, particularly to electricity, from hydro power, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear fission, wood and waste products, geothermal, wind, or solar radiation.
Energy conversion industries, for economic success, must be able to sell their product at a
price higher than the cost of energy commodities used as inputs plus per unit capital and
operating costs of the facilities. Energy conversion is never perfectly efficient and some input energy is lost into the environment. Therefore, the price per Btu of electricity must be substantially greater than the price of energy commodities used to generate electricity.
Technological advance can be very important. New technologies are becoming available that increase the conversion efficiency from natural gas or coal to electricity and which can be expected to have lower operating and capital costs. Such technological advances can be expected to bring prices of these energy commodities closer together over time.
In addition to these technological changes, there are important ongoing changes in economic structure of the electricity production and distribution industry, throughout the world.
In many countries, state-owned industries generate, transmit, and distribute electricity. In
others, private electricity suppliers are subject to special economic regulation. The reason for governmental ownership or control seems to stem from two factors. Electricity is
19 fundamental to economic activity and many people have not trusted private industry. Second, production, transmission, and distribution of electricity have shown significant increasing returns to scale and the industry has been viewed as a natural monopoly. Fearful that an unregulated monopoly would exercise market power and overprice electricity, most nations have chosen to tightly control or own the industry.
Recently, however, smaller geographically distributed electric generating plants, that could reasonably compete with one another, have become economically attractive. Thus, the possibility for competition in electricity generation has been recognized. In addition, it is now realized that an electric utility sells two classes of products: electricity delivery services (wires) and electricity. Although these two classes of products traditionally were bundled together into a price per kilowatt hour of electricity, in principle, these two classes could be unbundled and sold by separate companies. Electricity delivery service is characterized by increasing returns to scale, but electricity itself is not. Therefore the possibility is open for a competitive market structure to sell electricity to consumers, separately from the electricity delivery services.
In some localities this movement toward privatization and deregulation seems to be very
successful; in others, for example, California, it has not been. At the time of this writing, there is an intense heated debate about whether deregulation of the electricity industry is
appropriate and if so, what is the appropriate form of deregulation. 20
10. Environmental Consequences of Energy Use
Many important environmental damages stem from the production, conversion, and
consumption of energy. Costs of these environmental damages generally are not incorporated into prices for energy commodities and resources; this omission leads to overuse of energy.
Concern about this issue is common to energy economics, environmental economics (see
environmental economics entry), and ecological economics (see ecological economics entry), with energy economics and environmental economics literature attempting to assign monetary valuation of the impacts and ecological economics rejecting the idea that a monetary value could be placed on environmental impacts.
Environmental impacts currently receiving most attention are associated with the release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, primarily carbon dioxide, from combustion of fossil fuels. The three primary fossil fuels – coal, petroleum, and natural gas – each include carbon.
During combustion, carbon combines with oxygen to produce carbon dioxide, the primary greenhouse gas. Carbon dioxide accumulates in the atmosphere and is expected to result in significant detrimental impacts on the world’s climate, including global warming, rises in the ocean levels, increased intensity of tropical storms, and losses in biodiversity. Fossil fuels account for 98% of the US carbon dioxide net releases into the atmosphere and 82% of the releases of greenhouse gases, measured on a carbon equivalent basis. 21 Energy use leads to additional environmental damages. Coal combustion, particularly high sulfur coal combustion, emits oxides of sulfur, which, through atmospheric chemical reactions, result in acid rain. Automobile gasoline combustion releases oxides of nitrogen and volatile organic compounds, which, in the presence of sunlight, result in smog. Electric generating facilities often use much water for cooling and release the heated water into lakes or oceans, leading to local impacts on the ecosystem. Extraction of oil or mining of coal can lead to subsidence of the land overlying of the extracted deposits.
Pervasive environmental impacts of energy use, absent governmental intervention, imply that significant costs of energy use are not included in the price energy users face. These so-called externalities (see environmental economics entry) lead to overuse of energy and provide strong motivation for interventions designed to reduce energy use.

Table 1
Physical Properties of Common Energy Resources and Commodities
Resource/Commodity
Energy Form
Physical Form Time Scale
Crude Oil Chemical Liquid Depletable resource
Refined Petroleum Products
Chemical Liquid Storable commodity
Natural Gas Chemical Gas Depletable resource
Processed Natural Gas
Chemical Gas Storable commodity
Coal Chemical Solid Depletable resource; storable commodity
Trees/ biomass Chemical Solid Renewable, Storable resource
Battery Chemical Solid Storable commodity
Electricity Electrical Moving Electrons
Non storable commodity
Wind Mechanical Moving gas Renewable, Non storable resource
Hydro Mechanical Moving liquid Renewable, Storable resource
Geothermal Thermal Solid or Liquid
Renewable or Depletable resource
Uranium Nuclear Solid Depletable resource
Solar Radiation Radiation Pure energy Renewable: Non storable resource 27
Table 2
US Energy Supply (Domestic plus Imports)
Sources of Energy Consumed in the US: 1999 (Quadrillion BTU)
Depletable Resources Renewable Resources
Coal 21.8 Hydroelectric Power 3.4
Natural Gas 22.1 Wood and Waste 3.5
Petroleum: Domestically Produced 15.2 Geothermal 0.3
Petroleum: Imported 22.5 Wind 0.04
Nuclear 7.7 Solar 0.08
Total Depletable Resources 89.3 Total Renewable Resources 7.4
Source. Annual Energy Review, 1999; Energy Information Administration 28

We must become independent — not just of imported oil, but of oil itself.




We must become independent — not just of imported oil, but of oil itself.

A determined pack has begun to race its engines and to try to shoulder us off the road toward energy independence. It’s time for those determined to stay on the track to drive aggressively.
The energy-independence question is really about oil — the rest of U.S. energy use presents important issues, but not the danger of our being subject to the control of nations that “do not particularly like us,” as the president put it. Some of the engine racers have an economic interest in keeping our transportation system 97-percent oil-dependent. Less understandable are the authors of a recent Council on Foreign Relations report accusing those working for such independence of “doing the nation a disservice.”
The authors of that report and their followers define “independence,” contrary to both Webster’s and common sense, as essentially “autarky” — i.e. complete self-sufficiency, or not importing oil even though we remain dependent on it. Such a Pickwickian definition captures none of the thinking of serious advocates of reducing our oil dependence: The point of independence is not to be an economic hermit, but rather to be a free actor.
It is true that some who promote oil independence spice their remarks by implying that we might substitute oil from domestic sources or from our near neighbors for cheap Middle Eastern imports, and somehow manage to insulate ourselves from the world oil market.
But speechwriters’ tropes shouldn’t be taken as serious policy proposals. Geology will not cooperate in any such fantasy. There is no reasonable way that we can leave oil in place as the near-exclusive fuel for the world’s transportation systems and simultaneously wall ourselves off from the world oil market. If we want to end dependence on the whims of OPEC’s despots, the substantial instabilities of the Middle East, and the indignity of paying for both sides in the War on Terror, we must define oil “independence” sensibly — as doing whatever is necessary to avoid oil’s being the instrument of despotic leverage and foreign chaos.
Those who won our independence as a nation didn’t just fling imported tea into Boston harbor — they did whatever was necessary to wrest themselves from British control. We need not call out the Minutemen, but to avoid the consequences of dependence we must become independent — not just of imported oil, but of oil itself.
Does this mean that we cannot use oil or import any? Of course not. Oil is a useful commodity that can readily transport energy long distances. It already has competition from natural gas in industry and from gas and electricity for heating. But in transportation it brooks no competition — it is thus not just a commodity but a strategic commodity. Oil’s monopoly on transportation gives intolerable power to OPEC and the nations that dominate oil ownership and production. This monopoly must be broken. To tell us that in following this path we are doing a “disservice to the nation” and should resign ourselves to oil dependence is like telling us we should not urge an alcoholic to stop drinking, but should rather impress upon him the health advantages of red wine.
Not long ago, technology broke the power of another strategic commodity. Until around the end of the nineteenth century salt had such a position because it was the only means of preserving meat. Odd as it seems today, salt mines conferred national power and wars were even fought over control of them.
Today, no nation sways history because it has salt mines. Salt is still a useful commodity for a range of purposes. We import some salt, so if one defines independence as autarky we are not “salt independent”. But to most of us there is no “salt dependence” problem at all — because electricity and refrigeration decisively ended salt’s monopoly of meat preservation, and thus its strategic importance.
We can and must do the same thing to oil. By moving toward utilizing the batteries that have been developed for modern electronics we can rather soon have “plug-in hybrids” that travel 20-40 miles on an inexpensive charge of night-time off-peak electricity at a small fraction of gasoline’s cost. (After driving that distance plug-ins keep going as ordinary hybrids.) Dozens of ordinary hybrids converted to plug-ins now on the road are getting in the range of 100 mpg of gasoline. And millions of flexible-fuel vehicles are also now in the fleet. Producing them adds costs well under $100 and they can use up to 85-percent ethanol (before long to be made from biomass rather than corn) — methanol, butanol, and other alternative fuels produced from grasses and even waste.
A flex-fuel plug-in hybrid that gets 100 mpg and, when it needs liquid fuel, uses only 15-percent gasoline, is approaching a utility of 500 mpg. Other oil-breaking technologies are coming. When Cornwallis surrendered at Yorktown, the newly-independent Americans asked their band to play “The World Turned Upside Down.” Get ready for a reprise.

Sustainability & Energy Independence




Sustainability & Energy Independence

For the benefit of mankind, in order to maintain the quality of life and preserve the tranquility of world population. Water resources must be preserved to sustain humanity. We should utilize solar and or other source of renewable energy to operate desalinization projects from the oceans. As world population increases the scarcity of water will become a cause for conflict, unless we take steps now to develop other sources of water for drinking, rainwater harvesting and gray-water utilization.
To preserve the future generations sustainability, we should look into urban farming – vertical farming. The term "urban farming" may conjure up a community garden where locals grow a few heads of lettuce. But some academics envision something quite different for the increasingly hungry world of the 21st century: a vertical farm that will do for agriculture what the skyscraper did for office space. Greenhouse giant: By stacking floors full of produce, a vertical farm could rake in $18 million a year. This concept will save on transportation costs will absorb and reduce some of the pollution. As we all see, today’s natural disasters and conflicts affect the costs of energy and the supply of goods needed to complete production for various industries.
“Energy is vital to every sector of the U.S. economy. As our economy and population grows the demand for energy rises”.
I believe what America needs are cool headed government leaders who understand how markets function and can work with consumers, labor and oil industry leaders to develop a viable energy strategy that will help and not hinder as our nation transitions to our new energy reality.
For German Homeowners Renewable Energy is No Longer a Choice
All new homes built in Germany from January 1st 2009 will be required to install renewable energy heating systems under a new law called the Renewable Energies Heating Law
“It is cheaper to save energy than make energy”

"To succeed, you have to believe in something with such a passion that it becomes a reality."

YJ Draiman, Energy/Utility Auditor/Consultant
Northridge, CA. 91324
March 31, 2011

P.S. I have a very deep belief in America's capabilities. Within the next 10 years we can accomplish our energy independence, if we as a nation truly set our goals to accomplish this.

I happen to believe that we can do it. In another crisis--the one in 1942--President Franklin D. Roosevelt said this country would build 60,000 [50,000] military aircraft. By 1943, production in that program had reached 125,000 aircraft annually. They did it then. We can do it now.

To expedite and accomplish our energy independence and economic growth. (This will also create a substantial amount of new jobs). It will take maximum effort and a relentless pursuit of the private, commercial, industrial and government sectors’ commitment to renewable energy – energy generation (wind, solar, hydro, biofuels, geothermal, energy storage, waste to energy, etc. (fuel cells, advance batteries), energy infrastructure (management, transmission) and energy efficiency (lighting, sensors, automation, conservation) (rainwater harvesting, gray-water water conservation) (energy and natural resources conservation) in order to achieve our energy independence.

"The way we produce and use energy must fundamentally change."

Sustainability - "We do not inherit the land from our ancestors; we borrow it from our children" - Native American Proverb

The American people resilience and determination to retain the way of life is unconquerable and we as a nation will succeed in this endeavor of Energy Independence.

YJ Draiman, Energy/Utility Auditor/Consultant
Northridge, CA. 91324

Sustainability advocacy




Sustainability advocacy

A few Tried and True Strategies for Inspiring Environmental change
Many business leaders find it challenging to lead others on the path to sustainability - and not necessarily because they’re working with a tough audience (although that happens too). Rather the trouble lies in their inability to communicate in way that generates real-world action and measurable results. But certain individuals seem to have cracked the code - they’ve figured out how to turn environmental conversations into sustainable changes for their companies, and for the environment. What exactly are these leaders doing differently, and how can we learn from them?
Principle I: Emphasize the business necessity.
Aspiring change leaders must have their heads wrapped firmly around the financial implications of their pet environmental initiatives. Environmental strategy consultant believes that creating a compelling business need is by far the most critical factor for getting decision makers on board with green initiatives. The good news for aspiring sustainability leaders is that the case for business necessity is getting easier to make with every passing day.
“Customers are asking questions about environmental performance,” and “Companies like Wal-Mart will give more shelf space to those companies that can reduce their footprint. Employees demanding more from companies they work for is another clear force that creates a compelling business need - it’s tough enough to compete for the best talent without turning them off on values-driven and environmental issues.”
The take-home? When seeking to serve the sometimes elusive triple bottom line, make sure you start with the bottom-line that decision makers value most- cold, hard cash. This topic is sure to get them listening.
Principle II: Frame environmental goals in terms of the other’s self interest.
With work demands and obligations bombarding them at every possible moment, how can we get organizational leaders to make our green initiative a priority? Here’s the secret of all motivational conversationalists: Take the perspective of the person you are speaking to and frame your agenda so that it occurs to other person as highly relevant to their own personal goals.
Of course, to accomplish this requires that we do a minimal amount of homework to learn more about our audience. What are their goals? How do these goals relate to our proposal? What do they have to gain by our success? This may seem like a lot to think through up front, but if we are willing to make a habit of this sort of analysis our persuasive abilities will skyrocket.
A good example comes from environmental initiatives for one company. Which has a distinguished track record of leading change in the organization and attributes much of the success to this simple habit? “There are multiple benefits to all environmental initiatives, so the language we use to impart the message has to mirror that diversity,” “For example, if I’m promoting an energy conservation initiative such as a lighting retrofit for the facilities, I will need to alter my message based upon my audience. I need to address the financial savings on our utility bill to the finance folks, the labor and maintenance benefits to the technicians in the field, and the quality of light with clients or tenants of the facility.”
Principle III: Appeal to enlightened self-interest.
Once you’ve framed your proposal in terms of ever-pressing financial imperatives and the other person’s self-interest, feel free invoke the “better angels” of your audience’s nature. Invite them to see how jumping on board with your initiative will also serve the more high-minded planetary and humanistic bottom-lines. Sometimes the best way to do this is directly, by discussing the positive global impact that your green proposal will create in terms of waste and greenhouse gas reduction. Other times it may be preferable to first be discreet, seeking topics that evoke in your audience a feeling of selflessness and a desire to contribute.
Creating rapport through meaningful conversations. “A great tactic is to look around and find something that the person you’re talking to really cares about. I’ve found that a universally powerful topic is children. If you can get people take a second to think about their children, and the effect that their choices might have on them, they seem to open up and be much more willing to consider higher causes like the environment.” Whatever your angle, remember that - beneath the cynicism and chaos - people want to do the right thing. You are, in fact, giving them a fresh opportunity to do just this.
Principle IV: Use humor to melt defensiveness.
Unfortunately, for most people there is still a huge gap between environmental awareness and environmental action. This gap often causes them to feel slightly guilty and defensive when the topic of saving the environment is even raised. If we don’t overcome it, this subtle mental block can make our audience unreceptive and make our words more likely to fall upon deaf ears. What are we to do? How can we get past this mental filter and raise our audiences to consider new possibilities? One strong approach is with humor.
One company has turned the tactic of using humor to overcome environmental guilt into an art by designing a stylish faux legal contract called an “Environmental Guilt Waiver.” This contract bestows clients and friends with a “24-hour exemption from all existential torment in connection with the environmental crisis” for making simple positive environmental choices in their daily life. The result? After receiving the waiver, clients who might normally be resistant to discussing the environment open up more easily and take a more active interest in the topic. “Making people feel guilty doesn’t help the environment,” “People want to have fun and be part of the solution. We’re doing what we can to make saving the planet a more pleasant experience!”
Principle V: Paint an inspiring vision.
John F. Kennedy gave us the image of a man on the moon. These world leaders knew that all great accomplishments start out as little more than compelling images that capture our imagination. Granted, few people will ever reach the heights of power and influence that these historical figures attained, but each of us can nonetheless draw from that same well of wisdom when we seek to cause changes in our own work-life sphere.
Want to be a true visionary? Simply do this: envision the end result that you are seeking to cause for your organization and help others see it too. Make it vivid, make it compelling, make it believable and make it personal. What are the implications for your audience of this goal coming to fruition? How will their life - and the life of their organization - be changed as a result of small efforts made today? If you can get others in your organization to use their imagination to experience your environmental proposal in this way, you will generate astounding levels of motivation for your cause.
Principle VI: Stick with it.
Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither were our current environmental challenges. As you do your part to reinvent the wheel in a new shade of green, remember to be patient and - even more importantly - be persistent. No matter how eloquent, business savvy and sincere we may be, sometimes the only way to get through to people is with good old-fashioned repetition. Allow yourself to be the squeaky (green) wheel that gets the grease!
Someone once remarked that breaking up with someone is a lot like trying to tip over a refrigerator…you have to rock it a few times before it actually topples over. Getting people to change their environmental thinking and behaviors is the same way. So stick with it. Be persistent. After all, how much does environmental change really matter to you? Are you in it to win a popular contest or to do the right thing? Are you willing to continually raise the issues that matter to you most, even when those around you don’t seem interested? If so, you are a true leader, and success is only a matter of time.

Compiled by: YJay Draiman

“It is cheaper to save energy than make energy”





“It is cheaper to save energy than make energy”


Considering a Utility Audit
Every year, Businesses, co-ops and condos in Los Angeles pay millions of dollars in utility expenses, including electric, water/sewer, gas, steam and telecom. Are you certain your business/building is paying the correct amount? What if it isn't? Without an expert audit, you may never know if your building is due refunds, savings, and credits from overcharges that appear in a surprisingly large percentage of utility bills.
A whole business sector has grown to supplement your management company's efforts and delve further into the highly specialized area of utility cost recovery to obtain funds on your behalf. The following is an objective look at whether this service is right for your building, and a primer to help you make the best selection of an auditor.
What Do I Have to Lose?
That depends upon certain factors:
Does the auditor work on a contingency fee basis? Some companies charge a fee for their service, regardless of whether they affect savings. The benefit of this arrangement is you know what the cost will be. The downside is that you pay for the service whether your building saves money or not, and there is no financial incentive for the provider to dig as deep as possible to effect savings. The auditor gets paid the same amount of money whether they save you significant dollars or no dollars at all.
Many auditors are paid only when they recover refunds, savings, and credits. In this case there is absolutely nothing to lose, with the potential - and their incentive - to secure significant savings.
Is It Too Good to Be True?
Possibly - if you don't work with a quality company. Do your due diligence; find out about the company you choose before selecting a utility auditor. Ask yourself:
• How large is their staff? What is their background?
• What technology does the company use?
• Do they look to recover funds and savings on existing structures as well as on future billings? What is their track record in each area of savings?
• Do they just recommend solutions, or do they implement them as well?
• How far are they willing to go? Would they appeal the utility companies' decisions?
• Who are their clients and how much have they saved other buildings? Get references.
• Are there any other charges?
• Finally, find out how easy is it to cancel the agreement.
Can't Our Managing Agent Do This Him/Herself?
Managers have more than a full-time job dealing with managing the building. Also, utility bill auditing and cost management is a very complex, time-consuming, and specialized field. One needs to navigate through the bureaucratic environment that envelops most utility companies and through the mass of unwieldy tariff and regulatory rules and regulations to implement your savings.
Are There Other Benefits?
A utility bill auditor should be able to provide you with a cost breakdown and understanding of your bills. They should even be able to provide reporting, in paper or electronic format, with detailed information about historical usage, billing and payment as well as graphs that set forth trends in usage. This is useful for budgeting and cost control purposes. Finally, they can help you wade through the sea of choices of third-party marketers that deregulation offers,
How Do I Choose the Right Auditor?
First, there is the choice of fixed fee versus contingency (see above).
Within contingency, there are differences in the level of the share of the savings. Typically the smaller companies with fewer resources will ask for a smaller share of the savings. They may also find fewer savings than a company with larger resources to do the following:
• Apply the services and knowledge of highly-skilled legal and tax experts, former high ranking utility executives, seasoned auditors, and tariff specialists to remove charges that are embedded in the basic rate structure and not openly disclosed in a utility bill.
• Offer proprietary advanced technology to analyze the utility data to identify utility cost savings.
• Work through all appropriate agencies or utilities to implement all changes and obtain all refunds, savings and credits available.
• File and pursue cases or complaints with the appropriate regulatory authorities or through the courts.
Your building's decision makers should focus on the magnitude of results and depth of auditing expertise a firm can offer to maximize the largest refunds, savings and credits for their building.
In Conclusion"¦
You have the potential to save tens or even hundreds of thousands of dollars for your building. The risk is either a fixed cost or no cost, and a small amount of time and effort on the part of the property manager to provide the information and access necessary to allow the auditors to do what they do best. Utility auditing may be well worth a try for your building community.
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YJay Draiman, Energy/Utility Auditor

"Paying for utility costs without using a Utility Auditor and Monitor is like driving a car at night with the lights turned off" For all you energy, telecom and utility needs “It is cheaper to save energy than make energy